Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.035261 0.040783 0.046900 0.054181 0.062616 0.072087 0.083534
2026-01-25 0.027249 0.034670 0.043711 0.055551 0.070672 0.089370 0.114304
2026-02-01 0.021311 0.029149 0.039415 0.053873 0.073766 0.100255 0.138351
2026-02-08 0.017736 0.025737 0.036855 0.053478 0.077794 0.112211 0.164898
2026-02-15 0.015092 0.023040 0.034660 0.052952 0.081159 0.123247 0.191258
2026-02-22 0.013394 0.021393 0.033630 0.053797 0.086403 0.137406 0.223930
2026-03-01 0.011792 0.019620 0.032095 0.053529 0.089703 0.148767 0.253501
2026-03-08 0.010256 0.017714 0.030055 0.052082 0.090751 0.156432 0.277747
2026-03-15 0.008968 0.016037 0.028148 0.050549 0.091346 0.163240 0.301194
2026-03-22 0.008255 0.015258 0.027661 0.051393 0.096157 0.177871 0.340498
2026-03-29 0.007556 0.014407 0.026928 0.051664 0.099895 0.190920 0.378456
2026-04-05 0.006926 0.013602 0.026170 0.051769 0.103282 0.203636 0.417335
2026-04-12 0.006425 0.012995 0.025738 0.052495 0.108068 0.219834 0.465862
2026-04-19 0.006039 0.012571 0.025612 0.053824 0.114254 0.239633 0.524740
2026-04-26 0.005398 0.011545 0.024152 0.052199 0.114047 0.246180 0.555983
2026-05-03 0.004950 0.010867 0.023329 0.051817 0.116440 0.258506 0.601710
2026-05-10 0.004540 0.010223 0.022498 0.051307 0.118465 0.270236 0.647643
2026-05-17 0.004280 0.009877 0.022274 0.052125 0.123604 0.289580 0.714221
2026-05-24 0.003964 0.009367 0.021621 0.051866 0.126175 0.303270 0.768914
2026-05-31 0.003601 0.008704 0.020544 0.050465 0.125808 0.309901 0.806812
2026-06-07 0.003270 0.008079 0.019486 0.048980 0.125044 0.315456 0.842703
2026-06-14 0.003110 0.007853 0.019358 0.049798 0.130213 0.336496 0.922590
2026-06-21 0.002930 0.007559 0.019029 0.050060 0.133974 0.354388 0.996482